As long as Xi remains in power and China openly challenges the U.S., the C919 has zero chance of becoming a commercial success and it will be short-lived. Who in the world would help its enemy to become strong and turn around to replace itself? Nobody!! You won’t do either. I expect Biden to use this as an opportunity to deal Xi a fatal blow. Then China will retreat to lick its wounds.
估计拜登是没有机会拉闸了。Mark my words, too.
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对于一个没有生产大型客机经验的中国来讲,首个大飞机绝对不可能一帆风顺。所以这是预料之中的,也不是大问题。中国大飞机最大的问题大家也都清楚,是它就是个组装货,关键技术全部依靠美国供应。这在C919上马时还不是个问题。但是现在中美为敌国时就是巨大的隐患。美国已经决定停供一流技术产品给中国。马上Nvidia连减配版的GPU都不能再卖给中国了。C919上的美国发动机,航电系统等等怎么可能继续提供给中国用来威胁波音空客的市场地位,那不是自杀嘛。拜登不动手唯一的原因是C919没有大规模生产。如果习胖决定再砸万亿进去,拜登才会拉闸。Mark my words.
Facing the sword of Damocles that could fall anytime, anyone with common sense wouldn’t proceed further until the risk disappears. But Xi Jinping very likely WILL commit huge funds to mass produce the C919s, given his poor records of judgement in the past. That’s a sure fire way to quickly consume huge amount of China’s resources and drive it into the ground. Biden is salivating but patiently for Xi to enter the trap. Then he will pull the trigger.
tiger001 发表评论于
小心别被弄没了,死了也没人纪念
milkywayguy 发表评论于
别以身试机,别成为被割掉的韭菜,理智是无价的!
roliepolieolie 发表评论于
对于一个没有生产大型客机经验的中国来讲,首个大飞机绝对不可能一帆风顺。所以这是预料之中的,也不是大问题。中国大飞机最大的问题大家也都清楚,是它就是个组装货,关键技术全部依靠美国供应。这在C919上马时还不是个问题。但是现在中美为敌国时就是巨大的隐患。美国已经决定停供一流技术产品给中国。马上Nvidia连减配版的GPU都不能再卖给中国了。C919上的美国发动机,航电系统等等怎么可能继续提供给中国用来威胁波音空客的市场地位,那不是自杀嘛。拜登不动手唯一的原因是C919没有大规模生产。如果习胖决定再砸万亿进去,拜登才会拉闸。Mark my words.